Safety Moment - On Probability

Show Notes

Safety Podcast, Safety Program, Investigations, Human Performance, Safety Differently, Operational Excellence



How much do you really know about probability?  Would you be angry if I told you that your stoplight chart to determine probability is wrong.  Events either happen or don't happen...there is no in-between...none, zero, nada, zip, zilch, nil, zero.   



All the time we spend guessing how likely it is an event will happen is not very valuable to our workers or our organization.  We know, and have known for a long time, that workers don't really accurately guess probability.   I think I am safe.  I am not sure you are safe.  Both ideas are wrong.



Listen and enjoy.  Thanks for listening to the podcast.  You are such a huge part of the success!!!  Thanks.